British Columbia vs. Winnipeg

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Been trying to talk myself out of betting any of the games this weekend, but been doing pretty decent lately, so why not push my luck. Got a bad feeling about that Saskatchewan vs. Montreal game, plus that spread is really difficult. So definitely staying away from that one. Should be fun to watch, as most Saskatchewan games have been this year.

I really think the Bombers match up well against the Lions. But I don't see this game being tight AND low scoring. I think both teams put up a lot of points. Both Jarious Jackson and Michael Bishop love to air it out... while both defences have been getting torched in the air recently. Winnipeg has had one of the worst pass defences all year, while BC looked shaky last week against Cody Pickett. Winnipeg is putting a bit more emphasis on throwing, so this should be interesting to watch. I see a pick 6 in this game.

Both teams sport solid running games, with Mallett and Reid emerging as two of the better backs in the league. However, both teams are also showing signs of life in terms of stopping the run. This could be an area where whichever team establishes the better run game will have the upper hand in controlling the game. Otherwise, there could be a lot of nickel packages against the pass.

Finally, both teams have good kickers, although not as good as Jason Medlock (who IMO is the next CFL player to get a starting job in the NFL). Put all these together and I don't see how this game stays under the number in the worst, and most offence-friendly stadium in the CFL. Don't know why this number is being bet down, but I will bite on the over for a smaller wager than normal.

British Columbia/Winnipeg Over 50

GL
 

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Agree we could see some points tonight, especially trust BC to score. Articles I read claim Jackson has had a good week of practice and I just like the vibe from BC offensively when he plays. Worry a little about Winnipeg although BC's defense managed to let the Argo's put up points and yardage last week.

Also got to be just a matter of time before Grace-Mullen brings one back. Like BC team total as well as the game total.
 

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Good Luck Buck. I am leaning Over as well, but I will only add it if I make money in game 1. It is good to see you on the same side.

The only thing that scares me from the over is the "turnovers = under" equation that westcoaster (i think? or was it powerz?) brought up last week. I totally agree with that equation and part of me thinks that this game could be filled with turnovers, considering the 2 starting QB's.

Best of luck.
 

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Ryan Grice-Mullen is a guy who I really thought was going to be a great WR, especially after his outstanding performance at the tail end of 2008. However, he has looked completely out of it in 2009 (costing some of us some money in Week 1). Benching him and moving him predominantly to kick and punt returner was the best thing that could have happened. He is starting to really make a contribution now, and has looked great returning the ball over the past few weeks. I agree, he definitely looks ready to break one... he has been close lately.

As for Jarious, I think it's no co-incidence that he does well coming off the bench. When he comes off the bench, it's usually when the team is in a hole, so he has no choice but to air it out. That is when he's at his best, when he has nothing to lose by throwing a few deep balls. When he starts games, he tries to manage the game like Buck too much, and that's not his game. He has got to air it out... he has two of the best weapons in the league. I hope he really airs it out to start the game.

Let's cash this over...
 

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Good Luck Buck. I am leaning Over as well, but I will only add it if I make money in game 1. It is good to see you on the same side.

The only thing that scares me from the over is the "turnovers = under" equation that westcoaster (i think? or was it powerz?) brought up last week. I totally agree with that equation and part of me thinks that this game could be filled with turnovers, considering the 2 starting QB's.

Best of luck.


GL to you as well, I like your picks, although I can't bring myself to bet anything except this over. I'm not too worried about turnovers... I will take a high risk/high reward situation if it means having to stomach a few bad turnovers here and there. Besides... not all turnovers are bad for an over.
 

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I like it!
 

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Don't usually make these in game bets, but I see a good opportunity for a second half bet. When the Lions are down and Jackson is at QB, I don't see how we don't get points? I also love the Lions to come back. I'll make two really small plays, push my luck. Hopefully I don't get swept.

British Columbia/Winnipeg Over 26 (2H)

BC Lions -7
(2H)

GL
 

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